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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Southern Pulse Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Use the live forecast above to see the next 14 days at a glance, then treat the later days as a broad trend rather than a fixed prediction—Melbourne’s weather shifts quickly, so check back daily for updates.
What does a 14-day forecast actually tell you?
A 14-day forecast shows the likely pattern of temperature, wind and rainfall for the coming two weeks. For Melbourne, that means watching for cool changes and possible showers, especially in spring and autumn. The first week is generally more reliable; the second week gives you a directional idea—warmer or cooler, wetter or drier—rather than exact numbers. If you’re planning outdoor events, use the 7-day outlook for finer detail.
How reliable is a two-week forecast for Melbourne?
Accuracy drops after about seven days. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) rates its own 14-day forecast as a “guidance” product. For Melbourne’s variable climate, the day-to-day detail in week two can change significantly. That’s why the BOM also publishes a 28 day weather forecast Melbourne BOM and a BOM 30-day forecast Melbourne—both useful for long-range planning but best treated as broad trends. For a closer look, many readers also check the 15 day weather forecast Melbourne from commercial sources, though the BOM remains the official reference.
How accurate is the 14-day forecast for Melbourne?
Days 1–3 are highly reliable; days 4–7 are moderately reliable. Beyond that, the forecast shows the general pattern but can shift by several degrees or change rain timing. Check the Melbourne Weather page daily for updates.
Can I trust the rainfall predictions in week two?
Rainfall probabilities in the second week are broad estimates. Melbourne’s weather can bring unexpected showers, so treat any “chance of rain” beyond day 7 as a possibility, not a certainty. For severe weather, see our Severe Weather Warning page.
Where can I find the BOM 14-day forecast?
The Bureau of Meteorology publishes its official 14-day forecast on its website and app. You can also find weather Melbourne 14 days BOM data via third-party sites like Weatherzone. For a longer view, the BOM offers a 28 day weather forecast Melbourne BOM and a BOM 30-day forecast Melbourne.